Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #3
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #2
Noblesville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 3.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 72.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 96.5%
Advance to State Finals 98.7%
Advance to Semi-State 99.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational IWU Wildcat Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference NXN Championship Noblesville Sectional Foot Locker Championship Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/3 10/8 10/10 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 194 717 216 231 156 183 179 184 170 278
Team Adjusted Rating 194 216 213 156 173 179 184 170 278
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational IWU Wildcat Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference NXN Championship Noblesville Sectional Foot Locker Championship Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Gabe Fendel 11 15:25 15:29 15:52 15:29 16:02 NEI 15:57 NEI 15:43 15:13 15:25
39  Ben Wagoner 12 16:15 16:08 16:10 15:55 16:14 16:13 16:15 16:11 17:19
42  Brayden Watson 12 16:17 16:24 16:22 16:14 16:11 16:12 16:19 16:12 16:36
114  James Conaway 12 16:38 17:04 16:36 16:16 16:43 17:09
115  Grant Wilson 10 16:39 17:00 16:56 16:30 16:17 16:28 16:50 16:36 16:48
149  Brendan Huckabee 12 16:47 16:46 16:53 16:35 16:49 16:51 16:53 16:37 16:45
263  Eric Steinmetz 12 17:10 17:24 17:06 17:44 17:09 17:05 17:07 17:05 17:08
305  James Rathbun 10 17:15 17:37 17:15 17:17 17:04
490  Brady Southern 11 17:36 17:49 17:40 17:25 17:33
511  Brady Jarosinski 10 17:38 17:31 17:23 17:32 18:06
534  Joe Bergin 11 17:40 18:40 17:39 17:28 17:30
652  Aj Brisben 9 17:51 17:46 17:51 17:55 17:51
692  Nathanael Cho 11 17:54 17:31 17:51 18:10 17:56 17:55
763  Elliott Robinson 9 18:00 17:25 17:48 17:53 18:38 18:10
779  Connor Bryant 11 18:01 17:51 17:58 18:10 18:05
867  Emiliano Ibarra 10 18:08 17:44 18:09 18:04 18:13 18:20
1,074  Ryan Pfanstiel 11 18:23 18:32 18:56 18:12 18:10
1,079  Eric Carothers 10 18:23 18:36 18:27 18:10 18:23
1,324  Eric Swinson 9 18:40 18:39 18:29 18:52 18:42
1,537  Cameron Knurek 9 18:58 19:08 18:26 19:13 19:01
Andy Bowman 11 19:01 18:36 18:59 19:15
Andre Salgado 9 19:10 18:44 20:20 19:01
Adam Huckabee 10 19:12 18:31 18:46 19:40 19:42
Jake Barnett 9 19:29 19:07 19:26 19:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 98.7% 4.5 188 3.5 13.1 24.7 18.8 12.3 9.2 6.1 4.1 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.0% 2.7 97 11.6 38.2 26.0 14.4 6.4 1.9 0.3
Regionals 100.0% 2.6 82 13.2 40.4 28.8 13.3 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 63 14.0 47.7 33.0 4.8 0.5 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 100% 1.7 8.5 59.6 15.7 6.7 3.4 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Ben Wagoner 98.9% 42.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 19.3% 81.1%
Brayden Watson 98.8% 47.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 12.6% 75.7%
James Conaway 98.7% 99.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 12.8%
Grant Wilson 98.7% 99.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 12.1%
Brendan Huckabee 98.7% 117.8 0.0% 3.1%
Eric Steinmetz 98.7% 156.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 100% 1.5 8.6 80.3 8.3 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Ben Wagoner 100.0% 15.6 0.5 1.1 2.1 2.6 3.2 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.9 5.1 4.7 4.7 5.0 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.3 2.9 3.1 2.4 2.3 95.0% 99.8%
Brayden Watson 99.9% 17.5 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.5 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.9 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.9 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.4 3.0 2.8 2.5 91.1% 99.6%
James Conaway 99.1% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.3 9.9% 79.9%
Grant Wilson 99.0% 43.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.4 5.0% 79.0%
Brendan Huckabee 99.0% 54.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 3.0% 54.9%
Eric Steinmetz 99.0% 81.1 0.0% 4.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 100% 1.0 89.5 7.9 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Ben Wagoner 100% 12.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.0 4.6 4.6 5.9 6.5 6.8 7.6 6.7 7.0 6.1 5.5 5.1 4.8 4.3 3.7 3.1 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Brayden Watson 100% 13.5 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.2 2.9 3.6 4.7 5.3 6.2 6.5 7.0 6.6 6.0 6.5 5.6 5.4 4.8 4.6 3.9 3.0 3.0 2.2 1.8 1.3 100.0% 100.0%
James Conaway 100% 27.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.1 3.8 3.9 4.4 4.9 4.6 100.0% 100.0%
Grant Wilson 100% 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.4 100.0% 100.0%
Brendan Huckabee 100% 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.6 100.0% 100.0%
Eric Steinmetz 100% 52.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 1.0 93.5 5.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Ben Wagoner 9.0 1.1 2.7 4.8 5.8 7.4 9.2 9.5 9.7 8.4 7.0 6.3 5.9 5.9 4.7 3.5 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Brayden Watson 10.2 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.3 6.0 7.7 8.8 8.8 7.8 7.4 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.1 4.7 3.7 2.7 2.0 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
James Conaway 20.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.4 3.7 4.8 5.8 7.2 7.7 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.6 7.9 7.0
Grant Wilson 20.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.5 3.6 4.6 6.0 7.4 8.0 7.4 8.2 7.0 7.3 7.8 7.3
Brendan Huckabee 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.2 5.5 5.8 6.4 7.2 7.5 9.2
Eric Steinmetz 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9